FOLLOW THE CONNECTIONS

The wider view.

The stories that connect a vote to a majority, an oil price to a household budget, and a diplomatic opening to the work of peace.

U.S. Elections

U.S. election analysis: polling, congressional seat arithmetic, vote counting, and the difference between an early lead and a final result.

Oil price analysis connecting supply, shipping risk, refinery constraints, inflation, and the economic consequences of conflict.

Stock market and economic analysis examining interest rates, energy costs, inflation, and the pressures facing households and companies.

U.S.–Iran analysis examining military leverage, oil supply, economic pressure, and the limits of predicting the next stage of conflict.

Ukraine war analysis explaining humanitarian access, ceasefire implementation, security arrangements, and the steps toward a durable settlement.